Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.035250 0.038380 0.041526 0.044921 0.048473 0.052076 0.055999
2025-12-14 0.030045 0.034668 0.039468 0.044798 0.050531 0.056489 0.063130
2025-12-21 0.026845 0.032609 0.038761 0.045761 0.053455 0.061607 0.070852
2025-12-28 0.023134 0.029597 0.036686 0.044941 0.054198 0.064178 0.075670
2026-01-04 0.020695 0.027755 0.035689 0.045114 0.055865 0.067620 0.081323
2026-01-11 0.018935 0.026517 0.035228 0.045758 0.057944 0.071428 0.087304
2026-01-18 0.017371 0.025369 0.034751 0.046278 0.059795 0.074909 0.092865
2026-01-25 0.014908 0.022934 0.032595 0.044695 0.059101 0.075405 0.094968
2026-02-01 0.013276 0.021415 0.031437 0.044201 0.059595 0.077193 0.098483
2026-02-08 0.011972 0.020219 0.030598 0.044020 0.060399 0.079292 0.102315
2026-02-15 0.011435 0.019995 0.030942 0.045261 0.062881 0.083335 0.108387
2026-02-22 0.010824 0.019622 0.031062 0.046194 0.064972 0.086906 0.113904
2026-03-01 0.010077 0.019035 0.030900 0.046791 0.066689 0.090088 0.119041
2026-03-08 0.009211 0.018219 0.030398 0.046930 0.067829 0.092578 0.123371
2026-03-15 0.008775 0.017998 0.030668 0.048041 0.070163 0.096498 0.129395
2026-03-22 0.007712 0.016760 0.029504 0.047252 0.070098 0.097506 0.131949
2026-03-29 0.007071 0.016120 0.029123 0.047456 0.071254 0.099975 0.136231
2026-04-05 0.006632 0.015763 0.029113 0.048131 0.072990 0.103140 0.141341
2026-04-12 0.006187 0.015361 0.029016 0.048672 0.074545 0.106078 0.146176
2026-04-19 0.005172 0.013915 0.027349 0.047044 0.073279 0.105518 0.146769
2026-04-26 0.004549 0.013080 0.026532 0.046536 0.073428 0.106682 0.149428
2026-05-03 0.004059 0.012437 0.025968 0.046349 0.073976 0.108328 0.152663
2026-05-10 0.003944 0.012488 0.026454 0.047628 0.076445 0.112373 0.158836